Indian Equities

Independent
Equity Research
on Indian Markets.

Institutional-grade analysis on Indian listed companies and sectors. Mid-Cap focus. Data-anchored. No fluff.

5 Sectors Covered
3 Years+ Markets Experience
Research Note Power & T&D
Transrail Lighting
NSE: TRANSRAIL · EPC Infrastructure
BUY
CMP ₹498
Target ₹818
Upside +64%
Thesis: ₹9,680 Cr order inflows in FY25 (+121% YoY). Executable order book of ₹14,733 Cr | 2.6x annualised FY26E revenue. Integrated manufacturing (towers + conductors) captures margin competitors cede to suppliers. International business at 41% of revenue insulates from domestic PGCIL cycle risk.
Coverage Universe

Research across India's
high-conviction sectors.

Focused on mid-cap Indian equities where institutional coverage is thin and information edge matters.

Power & T&D
Transformer manufacturers, EPC players, transmission infrastructure. Value chain coverage from SME to listed majors.
Defence & Aerospace
Indigenisation beneficiaries, precision engineering, DRDO-linked supply chains and export-oriented defence players.
Banks & NBFCs
Small finance banks, MFI-NBFCs, fintech lenders. Focus on underserved credit segments and financial inclusion plays.
Capital Goods & Engineering
Industrial machinery, EPC companies, automation and robotics. Beneficiaries of India's manufacturing capex cycle.
Renewables
Solar EPC, C&I renewable developers, BESS integrators. Tracking India's energy transition capex and grid-scale storage buildout.
About

Jimit Shah,
Founder, Avalon Investments.

Avalon Investments is an independent equity research platform built on the thesis that institutional-grade analysis of Indian mid-cap companies should not be locked behind a sell-side paywall.

Prior experience includes equity research at a CAT-III Alternative Investment Fund. Coverage spans three core sectors with a consistent focus on data-anchored, primary-source research methodology.

CFA Level II NISM Series XV Mumbai
Full Profile
5+
Sectors in active coverage
3 Years+
Indian capital markets experience
Midcap & Smallcap
Market capitalisation focus
4
Reports and sector notes published
DCF + Relative Valuations
Valuation methodology
Mumbai
Based in

Research inquiries,
collaborations, or coverage requests.

Looking to discuss a coverage idea, commission research, or explore a collaboration? Reach out directly.

Research

Coverage & Reports.

Sector deep-dives, initiating coverage notes, earnings reviews and investment theses on Indian listed equities.

Research Reports

Coverage Notes & Sector Reports.

Initiating coverage notes, sector deep-dives, and macro outlook reports. Primary source-verified, no unverified figures, analyst-grade methodology throughout.

Power & T&D · EPC · Initiating Coverage
Transrail Lighting Ltd.
NSE: TRANSRAIL · T&D EPC + Tower Manufacturing · 9th March 2026
BUY
Rating BUY
Target Price ₹818 +64% upside
Order Book ₹18,216 Cr 2.8x revenue
3Y Rev CAGR 32%
Methodology Blended EV/EBITDA (60%) + P/E (40%)
International Revenue 41% of FY26 revenue
FY26 Order Inflows ₹9,680 Cr (+121% YoY)
Key Moat Integrated tower + conductor manufacturing
Risk PGCIL award cycle, working capital stretch
Coverage Date 9th March 2026
Open Report
Full initiating coverage note covering order book quality, EPC working capital dynamics, integrated manufacturing margin advantage, international business mix, PGCIL and TBCB pipeline exposure, and Bear/Base/Bull price target derivation.
Defence & Aerospace · Sector Initiation
India Precision Engineering
Sector Deep-Dive · Value Chain Mapping · March 2026
SECTOR
Global TAM $165Bn
India CAGR 9.5%
Structural Moats 6 identified
Portfolio Buckets 3 constructed
Coverage Format Slide deck + written report
Value Chain Layer-by-layer mapping
Key Drivers Indigenisation, export push, DRDO supply chain
Sub-sectors Aerospace components, CNC machining, defence electronics
Demand Catalyst 25% defence indigenisation target by 2025
Coverage Date March 2026
Open Report
Sector initiation covering the full Indian precision engineering value chain. Identifies six structural moats, three investable portfolio buckets, and maps demand drivers from defence indigenisation, aerospace component exports, and capital goods import substitution.
Macro · Market Outlook
The Indian Outlook
India's Markets During Geopolitical Disruption · March 2026
MACRO
Nifty P/E 19.56x Normalised
Sector Calls 5
Valuation View Reset Not a crash
Morgan Stanley Case Rebuttal
Core Argument Valuation reset, not structural breakdown
Geopolitical Frame India-Pakistan tensions, global tariff risk
Preferred Sectors Power T&D, Defence, Domestic consumption
Avoid Export-heavy IT, vulnerable mid-cap discretionary
Key Risk FII outflows, INR depreciation pressure
Coverage Date March 2026
Open Report
Macro outlook note analysing Indian equity markets in the context of elevated geopolitical risk. Argues against the Morgan Stanley bear case, identifies a valuation reset not a structural breakdown, and provides five actionable sector calls with rationale.
Valuation Models

DCF & Financial Models.

Proprietary valuation models built from primary filings, concall transcripts, and peer benchmarking. Bear / Base / Bull scenarios with full WACC derivation and sensitivity tables.

Power & T&D · EPC
Rajesh Power Services Ltd.
NSE: RPSL · T&D EPC + BESS · FY27E–FY29E Forecast Horizon
DCF
CMP ₹868
Bear TP ₹1,108 +28%
Base TP ₹1,668 +92%
Bull TP ₹2,315 +167%
WACC 14.86%
TGR 4.5%
Exit Multiple 7× EV/EBITDA
Rev CAGR (Base) 40% FY26–29E
FY29E EBITDA ₹536 Cr
BESS Project 65MW · GUVNL Phase VII
Full DCF model with FCFF waterfall, WACC derivation (Damodaran ERP), Bear/Base/Bull revenue scenarios, BESS equity capex modeling (₹121.55 Cr net of VGF), peer working capital benchmarking vs KEC / Skipper / Techno Electric, and WACC × TGR sensitivity table (6×6 grid, WACC 12–17%, TGR 2–6%).
About

Jimit Shah,
Founder.

Independent equity analyst. Mumbai-based. Four years in Indian capital markets with a focus on mid-small cap listed companies.

Avalon Investments is an independent equity research platform focused primarily on Indian listed equities, with an emphasis on mid-small cap companies where institutional sell-side coverage is thin and information edge remains meaningful.

This platform was built on a simple set of principles: rigorous, data-anchored research on Indian companies should not require access to a Bloomberg terminal or a sell-side subscription. Every report published under the Avalon banner follows a consistent methodology: primary source verification, no unverified figures, and analysis that reflects reality as the data shows it.

Prior to founding Avalon, I worked as an Equity research analyst at a CAT-III Alternative Investment Fund, contributing to live investment decisions including a notable position in Timex Group India. That experience forms the analytical foundation that underpins the research process that I have today.

My coverage spans five sectors: Power & T&D, Defence & Aerospace, Banks & NBFCs, Capital Goods & Engineering, and Renewables. Within each sector, the focus is on companies at an inflection point, covering order book ramps, margin recovery, and structural shifts in competitive positioning.

My research methodology combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with sector-level value chain mapping, DCF modeling, and peer comparison frameworks. Beyond fundamental research, I also traded actively across equity and commodity markets for about 4 years, bringing a practitioner's perspective to both positioning and risk.

Contact

Get in Touch.

Research inquiries, collaboration proposals, coverage requests, or just a conversation about markets.

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What I'm open to discussing.

I respond to all substantive inquiries related to research, markets, and collaborations. If you've read any of the coverage and want to push back on the thesis, I'm equally open to that.

Coverage requests on specific Indian listed companies or sectors
Research collaboration or co-authorship proposals
Buy-side or sell-side research role inquiries
Discussions on Power & T&D, Defence & Aerospace, Banks & NBFCs, Capital Goods & Engineering, or Renewables
Feedback on published research or methodology
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Jimit Shah